AD Sanjoanense vs Marialvas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.5%
Win probability
2.31
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.4%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.8%
3-0
9.7%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.6%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
17.1%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.1%
10.4%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7.6%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AD Sanjoanense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
SAO
0 - 0
SAN
32%
27%
41%
|
42 | 37 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
LUS
0 - 3
SAN
19%
24%
57%
|
42 | 25 | 17 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
SAN
1 - 0
MON
68%
19%
13%
|
42 | 29 | 13 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
SAN
3 - 1
VSC
44%
26%
31%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | +2 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
FEL
1 - 1
SAN
54%
24%
22%
|
40 | 43 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Marialvas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
MAR
3 - 1
VCO
49%
21%
30%
|
11 | 9 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2015 |
MOC
1 - 1
MAR
25%
22%
53%
|
15 | 10 | 5 | -4 |
| 09 May. 2015 |
MAR
4 - 1
RIB
58%
21%
22%
|
14 | 12 | 2 | +1 |
| 03 May. 2015 |
PER
1 - 1
MAR
53%
22%
25%
|
14 | 15 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
MAR
0 - 1
AGU
12%
18%
70%
|
14 | 33 | 19 | 0 |