AD Sanjoanense vs Lusitano FCV analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.7%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.5%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.5%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.1%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.1%
16.2%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AD Sanjoanense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
OLI
1 - 1
SAN
14%
18%
67%
|
46 | 21 | 25 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
SAN
3 - 1
CES
60%
22%
18%
|
45 | 38 | 7 | +1 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
GAF
1 - 2
SAN
20%
23%
57%
|
45 | 34 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2016 |
SAN
0 - 0
LUS
65%
21%
15%
|
45 | 36 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
BUS
1 - 3
SAN
15%
20%
66%
|
44 | 26 | 18 | +1 |
Matches
Lusitano FCV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
LUS
3 - 0
BUS
72%
17%
11%
|
38 | 24 | 14 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
MOR
1 - 0
LUS
33%
25%
42%
|
39 | 32 | 7 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
LUS
3 - 0
LUS
55%
23%
22%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | +1 |
| 26 Mar. 2016 |
OLI
0 - 3
LUS
22%
23%
55%
|
38 | 19 | 19 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
LUS
2 - 1
CES
46%
24%
30%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | +1 |