AD Sanjoanense vs Lusitania FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.7%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.4%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.4%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
53.2%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
0-1
12.9%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25%
0-2
10.3%
1-3
5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.3%
0-3
5.5%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.8%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+36%
-6%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
5
8º
10º
9º
6
3º
9º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
15 | 36 |
1º
|
49.5% | |
|
2º
|
14 | 35 |
2º
|
34.5% | |
|
3º
|
10 | 28 |
3º
|
25% | |
|
|
6º
|
6 | 27 |
4º
|
20% | |
|
5º
|
8 | 26 |
5º
|
16.5% | |
|
4º
|
10 | 24 |
6º
|
16% | |
|
9º
|
5 | 23 |
7º
|
16% | |
|
8º
|
5 | 19 |
8º
|
21% | |
|
|
10º
|
5 | 16 |
9º
|
25.5% | |
|
7º
|
6 | 15 |
10º
|
35.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
2% | 48.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
98% | 51.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AD Sanjoanense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
FAT
0 - 0
SAN
35%
25%
40%
|
41 | 35 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
SAN
1 - 2
ANA
56%
23%
21%
|
42 | 37 | 5 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
GIN
0 - 5
SAN
17%
19%
65%
|
41 | 13 | 28 | +1 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
SAO
1 - 2
SAN
51%
26%
24%
|
40 | 44 | 4 | +1 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
SAN
0 - 2
TRO
25%
26%
49%
|
41 | 50 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Lusitania FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
LUS
4 - 3
VIZ
14%
19%
67%
|
51 | 70 | 19 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
AMA
1 - 0
LUS
55%
25%
21%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
LUS
2 - 1
UNI
76%
15%
9%
|
51 | 27 | 24 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
LUS
1 - 2
BRA
47%
25%
28%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
LUS
4 - 0
FAF
63%
21%
15%
|
51 | 45 | 6 | +1 |