AD Sanjoanense vs Lusitania FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.9%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.4%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.5%
15.6%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+86%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AD Sanjoanense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Aug. 2015 |
SAN
2 - 1
OLI
31%
25%
45%
|
44 | 51 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2015 |
UNM
0 - 0
SAN
82%
12%
6%
|
44 | 68 | 24 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2015 |
GAF
2 - 2
SAN
29%
25%
46%
|
44 | 36 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2015 |
SAN
1 - 0
ANA
54%
24%
22%
|
44 | 41 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2015 |
EST
0 - 1
SAN
37%
26%
38%
|
43 | 39 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Lusitania FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 2015 |
LUS
5 - 0
GON
34%
27%
39%
|
35 | 43 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2015 |
MOI
1 - 1
LUS
39%
25%
36%
|
35 | 29 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2015 |
LUS
6 - 0
PED
45%
25%
30%
|
33 | 32 | 1 | +2 |
| 03 May. 2015 |
LUS
0 - 0
SOB
43%
25%
32%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | -1 |
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
COI
2 - 1
LUS
57%
24%
19%
|
34 | 41 | 7 | 0 |