AD Sanjoanense vs Cesarense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.8%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.6%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.9%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.8%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.3%
14.9%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.3%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AD Sanjoanense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
1DE
2 - 3
SAN
45%
25%
30%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
BUS
1 - 2
SAN
16%
22%
63%
|
45 | 25 | 20 | +1 |
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
SAN
2 - 2
EST
64%
21%
15%
|
46 | 41 | 5 | -1 |
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
SAN
4 - 1
SOU
59%
22%
19%
|
45 | 39 | 6 | +1 |
| 30 Aug. 2015 |
OFR
1 - 2
SAN
16%
22%
62%
|
45 | 24 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Cesarense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
CES
5 - 0
MOR
52%
23%
25%
|
37 | 34 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
ANA
2 - 1
CES
52%
25%
24%
|
38 | 42 | 4 | -1 |
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
ODO
4 - 3
CES
16%
20%
64%
|
40 | 17 | 23 | -2 |
| 30 Aug. 2015 |
CES
1 - 1
LUS
44%
26%
29%
|
40 | 42 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2015 |
GAF
0 - 0
CES
41%
26%
33%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | +1 |