AD Sanjoanense vs Canelas 2010 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.1%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
12%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.7%
1-0
15%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.3%
25%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
25%
17.9%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-19%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
36
2º
8º
3º
30
1º
7º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
44 | 44 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
40 | 40 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
36 | 36 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
35 | 35 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
33 | 33 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
30 | 30 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
29 | 29 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
28 | 28 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
25 | 25 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
23 | 23 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
21 | 21 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
12 | 12 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AD Sanjoanense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
VIL
0 - 0
SAN
58%
22%
20%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
SAN
3 - 2
BEL
14%
22%
64%
|
42 | 57 | 15 | +2 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
SAN
0 - 0
VAR
21%
28%
51%
|
42 | 58 | 16 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
SAN
3 - 1
MAR
73%
17%
10%
|
42 | 12 | 30 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
SAO
0 - 0
SAN
32%
27%
41%
|
42 | 37 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Canelas 2010
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
CAN
2 - 2
FEL
35%
26%
39%
|
39 | 43 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
CAN
1 - 3
VIT
6%
16%
78%
|
40 | 78 | 38 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
ANA
1 - 0
CAN
38%
29%
33%
|
41 | 37 | 4 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
ORI
0 - 2
CAN
38%
25%
38%
|
40 | 36 | 4 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
CAN
1 - 0
FAF
57%
22%
21%
|
39 | 35 | 4 | +1 |