UCAM Murcia B vs Caravaca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.6%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.7%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.8%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.3%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
31%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-34%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
39
5º
15º
9º
31
5º
14º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
70 | 70 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
58 | 58 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
58 | 58 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
54 | 54 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
52 | 52 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
50 | 50 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
44 | 44 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
40 | 40 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
39 | 39 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
35 | 35 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
34 | 34 |
11º
|
50% | |
|
|
12º
|
31 | 34 |
12º
|
50% | |
|
13º
|
30 | 30 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
25 | 25 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
21 | 21 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
20 | 20 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UCAM Murcia B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
MIN
1 - 1
UCA
37%
25%
37%
|
29 | 25 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
UCA
0 - 1
IMP
55%
23%
22%
|
30 | 28 | 2 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
CAP
1 - 2
UCA
29%
26%
46%
|
30 | 23 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
UCA
2 - 1
MUL
62%
20%
17%
|
29 | 23 | 6 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
LAU
3 - 0
UCA
46%
25%
30%
|
31 | 30 | 1 | -2 |
Matches
Caravaca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
CAR
2 - 1
RMC
34%
26%
40%
|
27 | 33 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
CAR
1 - 1
CIE
61%
22%
18%
|
27 | 21 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
MIN
2 - 0
CAR
32%
24%
45%
|
28 | 24 | 4 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
CAR
0 - 2
IMP
50%
24%
26%
|
30 | 27 | 3 | -2 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
CAP
0 - 1
CAR
27%
23%
49%
|
29 | 24 | 5 | +1 |