Sangonera vs Lucena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.7%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.2%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
22.5%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sangonera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 2009 |
LOR
2 - 1
AGU
40%
28%
32%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2009 |
LOR
2 - 1
LOR
60%
23%
17%
|
49 | 57 | 8 | -1 |
| 26 Apr. 2009 |
LOR
3 - 1
IMP
43%
27%
31%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | +1 |
| 19 Apr. 2009 |
ALF
1 - 2
LOR
36%
27%
37%
|
47 | 42 | 5 | +1 |
| 12 Apr. 2009 |
LOR
2 - 0
ULP
36%
30%
34%
|
46 | 52 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Lucena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 2009 |
UBC
2 - 2
LUC
64%
21%
15%
|
45 | 53 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2009 |
LUC
4 - 0
POR
48%
25%
27%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Apr. 2009 |
G74
0 - 3
LUC
54%
24%
22%
|
42 | 44 | 2 | +2 |
| 19 Apr. 2009 |
LUC
1 - 1
ROQ
33%
27%
40%
|
42 | 49 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2009 |
GUA
2 - 0
LUC
60%
24%
16%
|
43 | 53 | 10 | -1 |