Gimcheon Sangmu FC vs Incheon United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.4%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
28%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-16%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
50
1º
6º
3º
31
4º
12º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
54 | 58 |
1º
|
74.5% | |
|
2º
|
51 | 55 |
2º
|
44% | |
|
|
3º
|
50 | 54 |
3º
|
30% | |
|
4º
|
48 | 52 |
4º
|
25% | |
|
5º
|
46 | 50 |
5º
|
34.5% | |
|
6º
|
44 | 48 |
6º
|
43.5% | |
|
7º
|
40 | 44 |
7º
|
75% | |
|
8º
|
35 | 39 |
8º
|
27% | |
|
9º
|
34 | 38 |
9º
|
22.5% | |
|
10º
|
33 | 37 |
10º
|
29% | |
|
11º
|
33 | 37 |
11º
|
25.5% | |
|
|
12º
|
31 | 35 |
12º
|
57% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gimcheon Sangmu FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
JEJ
1 - 0
SAN
39%
26%
35%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
SAN
2 - 2
DCI
43%
25%
32%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2024 |
DAE
3 - 0
SAN
39%
27%
34%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2024 |
SAN
1 - 2
GAN
47%
26%
27%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2024 |
POH
1 - 2
SAN
42%
26%
32%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Incheon United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
DAE
1 - 2
INC
41%
27%
31%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
INC
0 - 1
JEO
37%
28%
35%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
DCI
2 - 1
INC
44%
26%
29%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
JEJ
0 - 1
INC
43%
26%
30%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
INC
0 - 1
FCS
36%
28%
36%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |