Gimcheon Sangmu FC vs Incheon United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.1%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.6%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
29.5%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
-18%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
56
1º
6º
2º
32
4º
12º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
58 | 61 |
1º
|
70.5% | |
|
|
2º
|
56 | 56 |
2º
|
70.5% | |
|
3º
|
52 | 53 |
3º
|
64% | |
|
5º
|
50 | 51 |
4º
|
22% | |
|
4º
|
50 | 51 |
5º
|
25.5% | |
|
6º
|
48 | 49 |
6º
|
65% | |
|
7º
|
40 | 41 |
7º
|
81% | |
|
8º
|
38 | 39 |
8º
|
38.5% | |
|
9º
|
37 | 38 |
9º
|
22.5% | |
|
11º
|
35 | 36 |
10º
|
25.5% | |
|
10º
|
35 | 36 |
11º
|
34% | |
|
|
12º
|
32 | 33 |
12º
|
87.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gimcheon Sangmu FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2024 |
DCI
0 - 0
SAN
44%
25%
32%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
SAN
1 - 0
GAN
47%
25%
28%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
POH
0 - 0
SAN
40%
26%
34%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2024 |
SAN
3 - 2
BUS
63%
20%
17%
|
76 | 66 | 10 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
JEJ
0 - 2
SAN
39%
26%
36%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Incheon United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2024 |
INC
3 - 0
JEO
38%
28%
34%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
POH
0 - 0
INC
42%
26%
32%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
GAN
4 - 1
INC
41%
27%
33%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2024 |
INC
1 - 0
GIM
62%
22%
16%
|
75 | 59 | 16 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
INC
1 - 1
DAE
35%
27%
37%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |