FA Cup Semi-finals
Global 3-3
Gimcheon Sangmu FC vs Daejeon Korail analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.2%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3%
4-0
5%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.1%
3-0
9%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.8%
2-0
12%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
18%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
18%
11.8%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.4%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gimcheon Sangmu FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2019 |
FCS
1 - 2
SAN
59%
23%
18%
|
68 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2019 |
SAN
2 - 3
INC
53%
24%
23%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2019 |
SUW
1 - 1
SAN
58%
23%
19%
|
68 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2019 |
DAE
1 - 1
SAN
18%
21%
61%
|
68 | 56 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2019 |
JEO
2 - 1
SAN
78%
15%
7%
|
68 | 85 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Daejeon Korail
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2019 |
DAE
0 - 3
GIM
46%
27%
27%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2019 |
DAE
2 - 1
GYE
30%
27%
43%
|
55 | 62 | 7 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 2019 |
BUS
2 - 0
DAE
30%
27%
43%
|
56 | 49 | 7 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2019 |
DAE
1 - 1
SAN
18%
21%
61%
|
56 | 68 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2019 |
DAE
3 - 1
CHA
64%
21%
15%
|
55 | 46 | 9 | +1 |