Sangiuliano City Nova vs Folgore Caratese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.2%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
7%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.6%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.8%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.7%
17.2%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sangiuliano City Nova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 2022 |
ARC
1 - 1
SAN
33%
25%
42%
|
39 | 34 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2022 |
CAL
0 - 1
SAN
18%
20%
62%
|
39 | 26 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2021 |
SAN
2 - 0
ADR
67%
18%
15%
|
39 | 32 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2021 |
NOV
1 - 5
SAN
17%
19%
64%
|
38 | 22 | 16 | +1 |
| 05 Dec. 2021 |
SAN
1 - 1
CAR
76%
15%
10%
|
38 | 26 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Folgore Caratese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 2022 |
FOL
2 - 0
USP
49%
23%
29%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2022 |
FOL
2 - 1
DES
39%
23%
38%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | +1 |
| 12 Dec. 2021 |
CAS
1 - 1
FOL
68%
19%
13%
|
34 | 39 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2021 |
FOL
0 - 2
CAS
45%
24%
31%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | -1 |
| 05 Dec. 2021 |
CAL
1 - 3
FOL
37%
26%
37%
|
34 | 31 | 3 | +1 |