Sangiuliano City Nova vs Calcio Certaldo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
85.3%
Win probability
3.04
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.2%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.6%
6-0
2.9%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.7%
5-0
5.7%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.6%
4-0
9.3%
5-1
3.4%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
13.3%
3-0
12.3%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
8%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.9%
10.1%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
4.8%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
0.1%
0
10.1%
4.6%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3.5%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-26%
+2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
47
6º
16º
7º
27
16º
18º
17º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
17º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
72 | 72 |
1º
|
0% | |
|
2º
|
72 | 72 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
59 | 62 |
3º
|
73.5% | |
|
6º
|
58 | 61 |
4º
|
17% | |
|
3º
|
61 | 61 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
60 | 60 |
6º
|
50.5% | |
|
|
7º
|
47 | 47 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
47 | 47 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
47 | 47 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
42 | 45 |
10º
|
50.5% | |
|
10º
|
44 | 45 |
11º
|
50.5% | |
|
11º
|
44 | 44 |
12º
|
50.5% | |
|
13º
|
41 | 41 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
38 | 38 |
14º
|
94% | |
|
15º
|
32 | 33 |
15º
|
94% | |
|
16º
|
28 | 28 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
|
17º
|
27 | 27 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
23 | 23 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sangiuliano City Nova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
VSM
1 - 0
SAN
10%
15%
75%
|
44 | 17 | 27 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
SAN
0 - 3
FOR
64%
21%
15%
|
45 | 36 | 9 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
COR
6 - 2
SAN
42%
24%
33%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
SAN
1 - 0
PRO
68%
20%
13%
|
46 | 34 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2023 |
LEN
1 - 1
SAN
35%
26%
40%
|
46 | 40 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Calcio Certaldo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
CER
0 - 1
IMO
10%
16%
75%
|
12 | 45 | 33 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
CER
2 - 0
PRO
8%
15%
77%
|
6 | 32 | 26 | +6 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
FOR
1 - 0
CER
89%
8%
3%
|
7 | 36 | 29 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
CER
0 - 2
MEZ
8%
15%
76%
|
7 | 38 | 31 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2023 |
SAM
4 - 0
CER
82%
13%
5%
|
7 | 37 | 30 | 0 |