Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Urawa Reds analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.5%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.9%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.9%
19.1%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 1995 |
GAM
5 - 2
SAN
46%
25%
29%
|
76 | 66 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 1995 |
KAR
1 - 0
SAN
41%
26%
33%
|
76 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 1995 |
SAN
1 - 0
CER
55%
24%
21%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 1995 |
SHI
0 - 1
SAN
47%
25%
28%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | +1 |
| 22 Jul. 1995 |
CER
3 - 1
SAN
50%
25%
25%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Urawa Reds
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 1995 |
URA
0 - 2
KAR
63%
20%
17%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 1995 |
CER
0 - 1
URA
62%
21%
17%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | +1 |
| 16 Aug. 1995 |
URA
1 - 2
SHI
55%
23%
22%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | -1 |
| 12 Aug. 1995 |
FLU
0 - 6
URA
53%
24%
23%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | +1 |
| 22 Jul. 1995 |
URA
2 - 2
FLU
57%
22%
21%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | 0 |