Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Tokyo Verdy analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.8%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.5%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.4%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.8%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.4%
20.8%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.3%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2001 |
SAN
3 - 2
CER
50%
24%
26%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2001 |
JEF
1 - 3
SAN
48%
24%
28%
|
47 | 42 | 5 | +1 |
| 03 May. 2001 |
SAN
3 - 0
FCT
37%
26%
37%
|
46 | 56 | 10 | +1 |
| 29 Apr. 2001 |
FCY
2 - 1
SAN
62%
22%
17%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2001 |
SAN
2 - 3
AVI
63%
21%
15%
|
47 | 41 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Tokyo Verdy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2001 |
TOK
1 - 2
JEF
56%
23%
20%
|
45 | 40 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2001 |
URA
4 - 2
TOK
48%
25%
27%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | -1 |
| 03 May. 2001 |
TOK
2 - 3
FCY
37%
26%
38%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | -1 |
| 29 Apr. 2001 |
AVI
1 - 0
TOK
39%
25%
36%
|
48 | 42 | 6 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 2001 |
TOK
1 - 0
KAR
31%
26%
43%
|
47 | 58 | 11 | +1 |