Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Tokyo Verdy analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.1%
1-0
9%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.5%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.6%
36.3%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.9%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.5%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 1997 |
GAM
3 - 0
SAN
70%
18%
12%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 1997 |
SAN
1 - 2
URA
43%
26%
31%
|
46 | 52 | 6 | -1 |
| 06 Aug. 1997 |
KAR
2 - 1
SAN
71%
18%
11%
|
47 | 57 | 10 | -1 |
| 02 Aug. 1997 |
SAN
1 - 3
JUB
37%
26%
37%
|
49 | 58 | 9 | -2 |
| 30 Jul. 1997 |
SAN
1 - 0
NAG
39%
26%
36%
|
49 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Tokyo Verdy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 1997 |
TOK
1 - 0
SHI
50%
24%
26%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 1997 |
FCY
7 - 2
TOK
49%
24%
27%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | -2 |
| 06 Aug. 1997 |
TOK
1 - 2
SHO
50%
24%
26%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | -2 |
| 02 Aug. 1997 |
JEF
3 - 1
TOK
42%
25%
34%
|
56 | 49 | 7 | -2 |
| 19 Jul. 1997 |
KYO
2 - 1
TOK
29%
24%
48%
|
58 | 47 | 11 | -2 |