Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Shonan Bellmare analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.7%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.1%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
23.5%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 1995 |
URA
2 - 1
SAN
51%
24%
25%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 1995 |
SAN
5 - 0
GAM
60%
22%
18%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 1995 |
SAN
2 - 1
KAR
54%
24%
22%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 1995 |
CER
1 - 2
SAN
59%
22%
20%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 1995 |
SAN
0 - 1
FLU
56%
23%
21%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Shonan Bellmare
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 1995 |
SHO
0 - 1
KAR
65%
19%
16%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 1995 |
CER
1 - 0
SHO
57%
22%
21%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 1995 |
SHO
0 - 4
SHI
53%
23%
24%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | -1 |
| 04 Oct. 1995 |
FLU
1 - 1
SHO
46%
24%
30%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 1995 |
SHO
2 - 1
KAA
46%
24%
30%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | 0 |