Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Sagan Tosu analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.9%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.6%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.7%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.5%
20.6%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jun. 2012 |
SAN
1 - 3
VEG
47%
24%
29%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2012 |
CON
1 - 3
SAN
18%
25%
58%
|
75 | 59 | 16 | +1 |
| 19 May. 2012 |
SAN
3 - 2
VIS
64%
21%
15%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2012 |
CER
2 - 1
SAN
46%
22%
32%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | -1 |
| 12 May. 2012 |
SAN
1 - 3
FCY
58%
23%
19%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Sagan Tosu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jun. 2012 |
SAG
2 - 1
URA
30%
25%
45%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2012 |
GAM
2 - 3
SAG
68%
19%
13%
|
69 | 78 | 9 | +1 |
| 20 May. 2012 |
FCT
3 - 2
SAG
59%
23%
18%
|
69 | 78 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2012 |
SAG
3 - 2
JUB
26%
24%
51%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2012 |
SAG
1 - 1
OMI
48%
27%
25%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | 0 |