League Cup Quarter-finals
Global 2-2
Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Nagoya Grampus analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.1%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.5%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.5%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.5%
20.4%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.2%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2024 |
NAG
0 - 1
SAN
39%
27%
34%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
SAN
3 - 2
FCT
56%
23%
21%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | +1 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
SAN
2 - 0
KAR
56%
23%
22%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2024 |
SAN
2 - 0
EHI
79%
14%
8%
|
83 | 65 | 18 | -1 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
NAG
1 - 2
SAN
38%
28%
35%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Nagoya Grampus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2024 |
NAG
0 - 1
SAN
39%
27%
34%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
SHO
0 - 1
NAG
34%
28%
38%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | +1 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
NAG
1 - 2
SAN
38%
28%
35%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
NAG
1 - 0
TOK
48%
27%
26%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2024 |
KYO
3 - 2
NAG
38%
27%
35%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |