Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Nagoya Grampus analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.7%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.1%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.3%
16%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2018 |
SAN
1 - 2
KAW
29%
26%
44%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2018 |
VIS
1 - 1
SAN
52%
24%
24%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2018 |
SAN
2 - 0
VVA
62%
23%
15%
|
77 | 66 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2018 |
SAN
2 - 2
SHO
58%
24%
18%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2018 |
FCY
1 - 4
SAN
58%
23%
20%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Nagoya Grampus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2018 |
NAG
3 - 0
SAG
39%
27%
35%
|
64 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2018 |
FCY
1 - 2
NAG
73%
18%
10%
|
63 | 80 | 17 | +1 |
| 11 Aug. 2018 |
NAG
4 - 2
KAA
10%
19%
71%
|
61 | 83 | 22 | +2 |
| 05 Aug. 2018 |
NAG
3 - 2
GAM
21%
24%
56%
|
60 | 77 | 17 | +1 |
| 01 Aug. 2018 |
VEG
1 - 2
NAG
73%
17%
10%
|
59 | 74 | 15 | +1 |