Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Nagoya Grampus analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.4%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.8%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.1%
16.8%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2018 |
KAA
0 - 1
SAN
63%
22%
16%
|
73 | 83 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2018 |
GAM
0 - 4
SAN
59%
22%
19%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | +1 |
| 04 Mar. 2018 |
URA
1 - 2
SAN
70%
18%
12%
|
71 | 80 | 9 | +1 |
| 24 Feb. 2018 |
SAN
1 - 0
CON
24%
29%
48%
|
71 | 83 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2018 |
PAT
2 - 1
SAN
34%
24%
43%
|
71 | 62 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Nagoya Grampus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2018 |
SHO
0 - 0
NAG
40%
27%
33%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2018 |
NAG
1 - 4
URA
20%
22%
58%
|
63 | 80 | 17 | -1 |
| 03 Mar. 2018 |
NAG
1 - 0
JUB
23%
26%
51%
|
62 | 80 | 18 | +1 |
| 24 Feb. 2018 |
GAM
2 - 3
NAG
73%
18%
10%
|
61 | 79 | 18 | +1 |
| 03 Dec. 2017 |
NAG
0 - 0
AVI
64%
20%
15%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | 0 |