Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Nagoya Grampus analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.4%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.8%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.4%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.9%
17.7%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2018 |
SAN
0 - 1
VEG
51%
26%
23%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2018 |
JUB
3 - 2
SAN
50%
24%
26%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 2018 |
SHI
2 - 0
SAN
59%
22%
19%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 2018 |
SAN
0 - 3
KAR
49%
25%
26%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 2018 |
GAM
1 - 0
SAN
40%
27%
34%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Nagoya Grampus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2018 |
SHI
2 - 0
NAG
70%
18%
12%
|
64 | 78 | 14 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2018 |
CER
0 - 1
NAG
74%
17%
9%
|
63 | 84 | 21 | +1 |
| 03 Nov. 2018 |
NAG
1 - 2
VIS
33%
25%
42%
|
63 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2018 |
NAG
1 - 2
CON
24%
24%
52%
|
63 | 82 | 19 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2018 |
KAR
0 - 1
NAG
59%
23%
19%
|
63 | 73 | 10 | 0 |