Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Nagoya Grampus analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.7%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.4%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.7%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
35.6%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.7%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.3%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jul. 1997 |
SAN
2 - 3
FLU
34%
26%
40%
|
50 | 59 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 1997 |
NAG
1 - 0
SAN
65%
20%
15%
|
51 | 58 | 7 | -1 |
| 12 Jul. 1997 |
SAN
2 - 3
KAA
32%
27%
41%
|
53 | 65 | 12 | -2 |
| 09 Jul. 1997 |
VIS
0 - 1
SAN
57%
22%
21%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 1997 |
SAN
2 - 2
CER
58%
22%
19%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Nagoya Grampus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jul. 1997 |
AVI
3 - 2
NAG
25%
24%
51%
|
57 | 42 | 15 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 1997 |
NAG
1 - 0
SAN
65%
20%
15%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | -1 |
| 12 Jul. 1997 |
SHI
3 - 1
NAG
44%
25%
31%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | -2 |
| 09 Jul. 1997 |
NAG
0 - 1
FCY
61%
21%
18%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | -1 |
| 02 Jul. 1997 |
SHO
1 - 0
NAG
43%
25%
32%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | -2 |