Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Mito Hollyhock analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.1%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.6%
4-0
7%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
8.5%
3-0
12.6%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.1%
2-0
17.1%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
<0%
+2
23.5%
1-0
15.5%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
24.5%
15.8%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
1.7%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
15.8%
6.1%
Win probability
0.45
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
5%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2008 |
SHO
0 - 2
SAN
33%
26%
41%
|
73 | 62 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2008 |
SAN
3 - 0
EHI
69%
20%
10%
|
72 | 58 | 14 | +1 |
| 09 Mar. 2008 |
THE
0 - 2
SAN
16%
23%
61%
|
72 | 52 | 20 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2008 |
KAA
2 - 2
SAN
74%
16%
11%
|
72 | 84 | 12 | 0 |
| 31 Dec. 2007 |
SAN
0 - 2
KAA
20%
23%
57%
|
73 | 83 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Mito Hollyhock
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2008 |
MIT
1 - 0
VEN
15%
23%
62%
|
50 | 64 | 14 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2008 |
AVI
2 - 1
MIT
73%
19%
9%
|
50 | 63 | 13 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2008 |
MIT
0 - 2
CER
16%
24%
61%
|
51 | 67 | 16 | -1 |
| 01 Dec. 2007 |
CON
2 - 1
MIT
78%
16%
6%
|
51 | 70 | 19 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2007 |
MIT
1 - 0
CER
15%
23%
62%
|
50 | 68 | 18 | +1 |