Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Kyoto Sanga analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.7%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
8%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.6%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.9%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
21%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
10%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21%
14.3%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.1%
0-2
2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 1996 |
GAM
2 - 1
SAN
53%
23%
25%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 1996 |
SHI
1 - 0
SAN
53%
24%
23%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | -1 |
| 30 Mar. 1996 |
SAN
0 - 1
FLU
52%
24%
24%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 1996 |
CER
1 - 2
SAN
53%
24%
23%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 1996 |
SAN
1 - 2
KAA
37%
27%
37%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Kyoto Sanga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 1996 |
KYO
1 - 5
SHI
34%
26%
40%
|
64 | 75 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 1996 |
FLU
3 - 0
KYO
68%
19%
13%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 1996 |
KYO
0 - 2
CER
42%
26%
32%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 1996 |
KAA
5 - 1
KYO
77%
15%
8%
|
66 | 78 | 12 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 1996 |
KYO
0 - 2
JEF
38%
25%
37%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | 0 |