League Cup 1/16
Global 3-5
Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Kawasaki Frontale analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.7%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.6%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.2%
1-0
7%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.1%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
35.7%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
8%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.6%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.5%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.5%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 May. 2011 |
SAN
2 - 1
KAA
45%
25%
30%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2011 |
VIS
1 - 0
SAN
33%
27%
40%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | -1 |
| 14 May. 2011 |
SAN
3 - 2
FCY
54%
25%
21%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2011 |
SAN
1 - 1
VEN
69%
19%
12%
|
78 | 66 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2011 |
SHI
0 - 1
SAN
49%
26%
26%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Kawasaki Frontale
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 May. 2011 |
KAW
2 - 1
GAM
43%
24%
33%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2011 |
CER
3 - 3
KAW
38%
24%
38%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2011 |
KAW
3 - 2
KAA
48%
25%
28%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2011 |
VIS
1 - 0
KAW
21%
24%
56%
|
81 | 69 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2011 |
KAW
1 - 0
JUB
66%
21%
14%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | 0 |