Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs JEF United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.7%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.6%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.1%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.1%
18.2%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 1969 |
SAN
2 - 0
MFT
81%
11%
7%
|
73 | 18 | 55 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 1969 |
YFC
2 - 0
SAN
28%
21%
51%
|
74 | 35 | 39 | -1 |
| 24 Jan. 1969 |
SAN
2 - 0
PER
71%
16%
14%
|
73 | 59 | 14 | +1 |
| 21 Jan. 1969 |
SAN
1 - 0
KOW
82%
11%
7%
|
73 | 7 | 66 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 1969 |
SAN
1 - 0
PER
54%
20%
26%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
JEF United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jan. 1987 |
JEF
3 - 1
CHK
77%
14%
9%
|
69 | 7 | 62 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 1987 |
JEF
2 - 1
SEL
69%
17%
14%
|
69 | 59 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 1986 |
JEF
1 - 0
LIA
55%
21%
24%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 1986 |
JEF
2 - 0
ALT
55%
21%
24%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | +1 |
| 26 Dec. 1986 |
ALH
3 - 4
JEF
70%
17%
13%
|
67 | 75 | 8 | +1 |