Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Gamba Osaka analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.7%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.7%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.7%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.2%
20.1%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
SAN
1 - 2
NAG
57%
23%
21%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2024 |
NAG
0 - 1
SAN
39%
27%
34%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
SAN
3 - 2
FCT
56%
23%
21%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | +1 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
SAN
2 - 0
KAR
56%
23%
22%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2024 |
SAN
2 - 0
EHI
79%
14%
8%
|
83 | 65 | 18 | -1 |
Matches
Gamba Osaka
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
GAM
2 - 2
AVI
49%
26%
25%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2024 |
GAM
3 - 2
SHO
55%
23%
22%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
VIS
2 - 2
GAM
53%
24%
23%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
KAR
0 - 0
GAM
47%
26%
28%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2024 |
GAM
0 - 0
FCT
44%
26%
30%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |