League Cup Quarter-finals
Global 4-7
Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Gamba Osaka analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.2%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.4%
2-0
10%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.6%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.7%
20%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2016 |
VEG
0 - 2
SAN
16%
22%
62%
|
47 | 30 | 17 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2016 |
SAN
0 - 1
VEN
83%
13%
4%
|
47 | 26 | 21 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2016 |
SHO
1 - 2
SAN
8%
18%
74%
|
47 | 21 | 26 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2016 |
SAN
2 - 0
NAG
84%
12%
4%
|
47 | 24 | 23 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2016 |
GAM
1 - 0
SAN
29%
24%
46%
|
48 | 39 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Gamba Osaka
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2016 |
SHO
1 - 2
GAM
9%
17%
74%
|
42 | 20 | 22 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2016 |
GAM
0 - 1
VIS
66%
19%
14%
|
43 | 36 | 7 | -1 |
| 13 Aug. 2016 |
JUB
0 - 2
GAM
63%
20%
17%
|
41 | 46 | 5 | +2 |
| 06 Aug. 2016 |
GAM
2 - 1
SAG
66%
20%
14%
|
41 | 35 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2016 |
GAM
1 - 0
SAN
29%
24%
46%
|
39 | 48 | 9 | +2 |