J1 League - 2nd Ph. Final
Global 4-3
Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Gamba Osaka analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.3%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.7%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.2%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.4%
24.3%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 2015 |
GAM
2 - 3
SAN
52%
23%
25%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2015 |
SAN
5 - 0
SHO
67%
20%
14%
|
47 | 40 | 7 | -1 |
| 07 Nov. 2015 |
GAM
0 - 2
SAN
56%
22%
22%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2015 |
VEN
0 - 2
SAN
19%
24%
56%
|
47 | 36 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2015 |
SAN
2 - 1
KAW
49%
24%
28%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Gamba Osaka
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 2015 |
GAM
2 - 3
SAN
52%
23%
25%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2015 |
URA
1 - 3
GAM
45%
23%
32%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2015 |
GAM
4 - 0
MON
84%
11%
4%
|
45 | 26 | 19 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2015 |
GAM
0 - 2
SAN
56%
22%
22%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | -2 |
| 31 Oct. 2015 |
KAA
3 - 0
GAM
35%
22%
43%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | -3 |