Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs FC Tokyo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.7%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.1%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
23%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23%
21.4%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.7%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
-14%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
56
1º
10º
1º
41
4º
17º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
2º
|
56 | 70 |
1º
|
36% | |
|
1º
|
58 | 69 |
2º
|
28% | |
|
3º
|
55 | 69 |
3º
|
31% | |
|
5º
|
49 | 61 |
4º
|
22% | |
|
4º
|
49 | 61 |
5º
|
27.5% | |
|
7º
|
41 | 58 |
6º
|
22.5% | |
|
6º
|
44 | 55 |
7º
|
18% | |
|
12º
|
37 | 52 |
8º
|
11% | |
|
|
8º
|
41 | 52 |
9º
|
13% | |
|
13º
|
37 | 51 |
10º
|
10% | |
|
9º
|
39 | 50 |
11º
|
10% | |
|
10º
|
38 | 50 |
12º
|
12.5% | |
|
14º
|
37 | 49 |
13º
|
12% | |
|
11º
|
38 | 49 |
14º
|
10.5% | |
|
15º
|
37 | 49 |
15º
|
12.5% | |
|
16º
|
33 | 44 |
16º
|
21.5% | |
|
17º
|
32 | 43 |
17º
|
24% | |
|
18º
|
31 | 42 |
18º
|
28.5% | |
|
19º
|
25 | 36 |
19º
|
40.5% | |
|
20º
|
24 | 33 |
20º
|
63.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champion
|
36% | 0% |
|
AFC Champions League Elite
|
32% | 0% |
|
AFC Champions League 2
|
24% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
8% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
SAN
2 - 0
KAR
56%
23%
22%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2024 |
SAN
2 - 0
EHI
79%
14%
8%
|
83 | 65 | 18 | -1 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
NAG
1 - 2
SAN
38%
28%
35%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | +1 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
SAN
2 - 0
CER
56%
23%
21%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2024 |
TOK
0 - 1
SAN
31%
27%
43%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
FC Tokyo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
KYO
3 - 0
FCT
42%
26%
32%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
FCT
0 - 0
TOK
52%
25%
23%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
FCT
0 - 3
KAW
36%
25%
39%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2024 |
GAM
0 - 0
FCT
44%
26%
30%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
KAA
2 - 1
FCT
48%
26%
27%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |