Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs FC Tokyo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.7%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.4%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.8%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
28.4%
Draw
0-0
10.4%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.4%
30.8%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 2020 |
URA
1 - 0
SAN
44%
26%
30%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2020 |
SAN
1 - 0
SHO
62%
23%
15%
|
77 | 65 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2020 |
CON
2 - 1
SAN
56%
23%
21%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | -1 |
| 01 Aug. 2020 |
YOK
0 - 2
SAN
23%
26%
51%
|
77 | 65 | 12 | +1 |
| 22 Jul. 2020 |
GAM
1 - 0
SAN
48%
25%
26%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
FC Tokyo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 2020 |
FCT
1 - 0
NAG
45%
26%
29%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2020 |
CER
0 - 0
FCT
54%
25%
21%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2020 |
FCT
2 - 3
SAG
57%
25%
18%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2020 |
KAA
2 - 2
FCT
46%
27%
27%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2020 |
CON
1 - 1
FCT
55%
24%
21%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |