Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs FC Tokyo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.1%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
9%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.9%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
25.4%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2007 |
FCY
2 - 2
SAN
53%
24%
23%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2007 |
SAN
2 - 0
OIT
53%
25%
22%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | +1 |
| 15 Aug. 2007 |
KAR
2 - 0
SAN
47%
25%
28%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | -1 |
| 12 Aug. 2007 |
SAN
1 - 3
NAG
50%
26%
25%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2007 |
URA
4 - 1
SAN
62%
21%
17%
|
74 | 83 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
FC Tokyo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2007 |
URA
3 - 2
FCT
65%
21%
14%
|
71 | 83 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2007 |
FCT
0 - 1
KAR
50%
25%
25%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | -1 |
| 15 Aug. 2007 |
JUB
5 - 2
FCT
59%
22%
18%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | -1 |
| 11 Aug. 2007 |
FCT
1 - 2
OIT
59%
23%
19%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2007 |
FCT
2 - 4
FCY
48%
25%
27%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | -1 |