Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs FC Tokyo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.5%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
27.4%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+22%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2006 |
VEN
1 - 0
SAN
47%
26%
27%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2006 |
KAW
3 - 3
SAN
72%
17%
11%
|
71 | 81 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2006 |
SAN
1 - 0
OMI
41%
27%
32%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 2006 |
URA
2 - 1
SAN
70%
19%
11%
|
70 | 82 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2006 |
SAN
0 - 0
NAG
50%
25%
26%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
FC Tokyo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2006 |
NAG
1 - 2
FCT
52%
24%
23%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2006 |
FCT
1 - 4
ALB
45%
25%
30%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2006 |
KAA
3 - 2
FCT
61%
22%
16%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2006 |
KYO
1 - 0
FCT
47%
25%
28%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 2006 |
FCT
1 - 3
VEN
54%
23%
22%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | 0 |