Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs FC Tokushima analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
91.4%
Win probability
2.98
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.7%
8-1
0.1%
+7
1.8%
6-0
4%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
4.3%
5-0
8%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
<0%
+5
8.9%
4-0
13.4%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
15.3%
3-0
18%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.2%
+3
21.1%
2-0
18.2%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
22.4%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
3.9%
3-2
0.4%
4-3
<0%
+1
16.6%
7.2%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
2.6%
2-2
0.4%
3-3
<0%
0
7.2%
1.3%
Win probability
0.22
Expected goals
0-1
0.9%
1-2
0.3%
2-3
0%
-1
1.2%
0-2
0.1%
1-3
0%
-2
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jun. 2023 |
SAN
3 - 1
KYO
63%
22%
15%
|
82 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2023 |
URA
2 - 1
SAN
46%
25%
29%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2023 |
SAN
1 - 0
SHO
61%
23%
16%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2023 |
YOK
1 - 0
SAN
23%
25%
52%
|
82 | 65 | 17 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2023 |
NAG
2 - 1
SAN
41%
27%
33%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
FC Tokushima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 2023 |
SRC
1 - 3
FCT
69%
17%
14%
|
7 | 14 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2022 |
FCF
3 - 2
FCT
79%
14%
7%
|
7 | 30 | 23 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2021 |
GAI
4 - 1
FCT
83%
12%
6%
|
7 | 54 | 47 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2020 |
KUS
2 - 1
FCT
79%
13%
8%
|
7 | 42 | 35 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2020 |
FCT
5 - 0
MAT
42%
22%
36%
|
6 | 6 | 0 | +1 |