Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Imabari analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
85.7%
Win probability
2.96
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.2%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.4%
6-0
2.8%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.5%
5-0
5.7%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.4%
4-0
9.7%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
13.2%
3-0
13.2%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.2%
2-0
13.4%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.9%
1-0
9%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.3%
10.1%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
4.8%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
10.1%
4.1%
Win probability
0.53
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
1.3%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
3.3%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2012 |
JUB
1 - 1
SAN
47%
24%
29%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
SAN
0 - 1
FCT
52%
25%
23%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2012 |
ALB
0 - 2
SAN
30%
26%
45%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2012 |
OMI
1 - 2
SAN
23%
26%
51%
|
77 | 65 | 12 | +1 |
| 04 Aug. 2012 |
SAN
1 - 2
SHI
55%
24%
22%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Imabari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
FKU
1 - 2
FCI
13%
18%
69%
|
47 | 8 | 39 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2011 |
DSH
5 - 2
FCI
11%
19%
70%
|
50 | 13 | 37 | -3 |