Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Cerezo Osaka analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.5%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.6%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.6%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.8%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20.2%
16.3%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 2010 |
OMI
0 - 0
SAN
25%
26%
48%
|
79 | 68 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2010 |
JUB
2 - 1
SAN
36%
26%
39%
|
79 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2010 |
SAN
2 - 1
FCT
54%
24%
22%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2010 |
SAN
4 - 3
POH
59%
21%
20%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | +1 |
| 24 Apr. 2010 |
ALB
2 - 2
SAN
35%
26%
39%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Cerezo Osaka
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jun. 2010 |
CER
1 - 2
FCT
40%
25%
35%
|
70 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2010 |
OMI
2 - 1
CER
37%
26%
37%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | -1 |
| 29 May. 2010 |
CER
0 - 1
VEG
48%
24%
29%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2010 |
NAG
1 - 1
CER
58%
22%
20%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2010 |
KYO
2 - 1
CER
39%
24%
37%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | 0 |