Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Cerezo Osaka analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.4%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.9%
2-0
10%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.9%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.2%
19.4%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 May. 1997 |
AVI
0 - 1
SAN
45%
24%
30%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 May. 1997 |
SAN
1 - 0
SHI
39%
26%
35%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | -1 |
| 17 May. 1997 |
FCY
4 - 2
SAN
63%
22%
16%
|
57 | 64 | 7 | -1 |
| 10 May. 1997 |
SAN
0 - 1
SHO
44%
25%
31%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | -2 |
| 07 May. 1997 |
JEF
3 - 2
SAN
61%
21%
18%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | -2 |
Matches
Cerezo Osaka
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 May. 1997 |
CER
1 - 2
SHI
51%
24%
26%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 May. 1997 |
FCY
3 - 2
CER
69%
19%
12%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | -2 |
| 24 May. 1997 |
CER
0 - 2
SHO
53%
23%
24%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | -2 |
| 17 May. 1997 |
JEF
3 - 0
CER
65%
20%
15%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | -2 |
| 10 May. 1997 |
CER
1 - 2
KYO
71%
18%
11%
|
61 | 54 | 7 | -1 |