Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Beijing Guoan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.6%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.4%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.1%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
17.9%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2014 |
SAN
2 - 0
FCY
42%
26%
32%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 2014 |
FCY
2 - 0
SAN
45%
25%
30%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 2013 |
FCT
0 - 0
SAN
47%
26%
27%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2013 |
SAN
1 - 0
VEN
67%
20%
13%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2013 |
KAA
0 - 2
SAN
51%
24%
24%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Beijing Guoan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2013 |
GUA
6 - 3
BEI
67%
19%
15%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2013 |
BEI
0 - 1
GUA
32%
23%
45%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2013 |
BEI
1 - 0
QIN
72%
18%
10%
|
78 | 64 | 14 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2013 |
SHA
1 - 3
BEI
54%
24%
21%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | +1 |
| 18 Oct. 2013 |
BEI
1 - 1
HAN
67%
20%
14%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | 0 |