Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Beijing Guoan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.1%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.6%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.9%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.8%
19.1%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2013 |
NAG
1 - 1
SAN
49%
25%
26%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2013 |
BUN
0 - 0
SAN
31%
25%
44%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2013 |
JUB
0 - 2
SAN
37%
25%
37%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 2013 |
SAN
2 - 0
SAG
59%
22%
19%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2013 |
POH
1 - 1
SAN
49%
24%
28%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Beijing Guoan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2013 |
DAL
3 - 0
BEI
48%
24%
28%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2013 |
BEI
2 - 0
POH
52%
24%
25%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | +1 |
| 19 Apr. 2013 |
BEI
1 - 1
GUI
58%
23%
18%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2013 |
BEI
2 - 2
SHA
69%
20%
12%
|
76 | 64 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2013 |
BEI
0 - 1
BUN
67%
20%
14%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | 0 |