Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Baleine Shimonoseki analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
93%
Win probability
3.18
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.9%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.9%
7-0
2.2%
8-1
0.2%
+7
2.4%
6-0
4.9%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
5.3%
5-0
9.2%
6-1
1%
7-2
<0%
+5
10.2%
4-0
14.5%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
16.4%
3-0
18.3%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.2%
+3
21.3%
2-0
17.3%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
3.4%
3-2
0.4%
4-3
<0%
+1
14.7%
5.9%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
2.2%
2-2
0.3%
3-3
<0%
0
5.9%
1%
Win probability
0.2
Expected goals
0-1
0.7%
1-2
0.2%
2-3
0%
-1
0.9%
0-2
0.1%
1-3
0%
-2
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jun. 2024 |
SAN
3 - 1
FCT
56%
23%
21%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2024 |
FCT
1 - 2
SAN
43%
26%
32%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2024 |
SAN
2 - 0
JUB
63%
21%
16%
|
83 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2024 |
CER
1 - 1
SAN
41%
26%
33%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2024 |
TOK
2 - 3
SAN
27%
26%
47%
|
83 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Baleine Shimonoseki
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 2024 |
GAI
1 - 1
BAS
84%
11%
5%
|
7 | 55 | 48 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2023 |
VER
2 - 1
BAS
82%
13%
5%
|
7 | 55 | 48 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2021 |
MMM
3 - 1
BAS
81%
13%
7%
|
7 | 43 | 36 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2020 |
FCF
1 - 0
BAS
80%
13%
8%
|
8 | 21 | 13 | -1 |