Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Avispa Fukuoka analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.5%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.9%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.5%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.4%
12.1%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.6%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 1999 |
SAN
1 - 4
CER
60%
21%
18%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1999 |
SHI
2 - 0
SAN
64%
21%
15%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 1999 |
SAN
2 - 1
FCY
34%
25%
42%
|
52 | 62 | 10 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 1999 |
KAR
0 - 4
SAN
62%
22%
17%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | +2 |
| 04 Sep. 1999 |
SAN
2 - 1
KYO
69%
19%
12%
|
50 | 43 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Avispa Fukuoka
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 1999 |
AVI
1 - 3
NAG
24%
24%
52%
|
42 | 58 | 16 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1999 |
KYO
1 - 5
AVI
61%
22%
17%
|
40 | 44 | 4 | +2 |
| 15 Sep. 1999 |
AVI
2 - 1
URA
35%
26%
39%
|
38 | 48 | 10 | +2 |
| 11 Sep. 1999 |
SHO
0 - 3
AVI
65%
20%
15%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | +2 |
| 04 Sep. 1999 |
AVI
2 - 3
KAA
20%
24%
56%
|
37 | 60 | 23 | -1 |