Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Avispa Fukuoka analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.7%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.2%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.4%
3-0
9%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
17.7%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.7%
11.6%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.3%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 1997 |
SHI
1 - 0
SAN
67%
20%
13%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 1997 |
KAA
2 - 1
SAN
75%
16%
9%
|
46 | 60 | 14 | -1 |
| 06 Sep. 1997 |
SAN
2 - 3
FCY
37%
26%
37%
|
46 | 54 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 1997 |
SHO
2 - 0
SAN
64%
20%
16%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | -1 |
| 30 Aug. 1997 |
SAN
3 - 0
JEF
54%
24%
23%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Avispa Fukuoka
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 1997 |
FCY
4 - 1
AVI
82%
12%
6%
|
37 | 55 | 18 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 1997 |
VIS
4 - 3
AVI
66%
20%
15%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 1997 |
AVI
1 - 2
SHO
34%
25%
41%
|
38 | 50 | 12 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 1997 |
JEF
2 - 1
AVI
71%
17%
12%
|
39 | 45 | 6 | -1 |
| 30 Aug. 1997 |
AVI
4 - 2
KYO
56%
23%
21%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | +2 |