Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Albirex Niigata analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.8%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.6%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.8%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.9%
12.3%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2012 |
KAW
1 - 4
SAN
57%
23%
20%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
SAN
1 - 1
NAG
40%
26%
34%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2012 |
JUB
1 - 0
SAN
45%
24%
32%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2012 |
SAG
1 - 0
SAN
29%
27%
44%
|
76 | 66 | 10 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 2012 |
SAN
4 - 1
GAM
34%
24%
42%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Albirex Niigata
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2012 |
ALB
0 - 1
VEG
35%
28%
38%
|
69 | 78 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
SAG
1 - 0
ALB
43%
28%
29%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | -1 |
| 18 Apr. 2012 |
ALB
1 - 0
VIS
46%
24%
31%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 2012 |
CER
0 - 1
ALB
69%
19%
12%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 2012 |
ALB
0 - 0
FCY
43%
27%
30%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | 0 |