San Francisco Dons vs Saint Mary's analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.6%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
13.1%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.9%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
22.2%
34.2%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.5%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
San Francisco Dons
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2021 |
SCB
3 - 1
SFD
51%
22%
28%
|
24 | 24 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2021 |
SFD
0 - 0
PPT
63%
19%
18%
|
24 | 20 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2021 |
LML
0 - 0
SFD
60%
20%
21%
|
24 | 28 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2021 |
SMG
3 - 1
SFD
46%
22%
32%
|
25 | 24 | 1 | -1 |
| 21 Mar. 2021 |
PTG
0 - 1
SFD
31%
22%
48%
|
25 | 19 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Saint Mary's
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2021 |
SMG
1 - 0
PPT
66%
18%
16%
|
24 | 19 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2021 |
PPT
1 - 3
SMG
38%
22%
40%
|
22 | 20 | 2 | +2 |
| 11 Apr. 2021 |
SMG
1 - 3
LML
40%
22%
38%
|
24 | 27 | 3 | -2 |
| 03 Apr. 2021 |
PTG
3 - 2
SMG
26%
21%
53%
|
26 | 19 | 7 | -2 |
| 28 Mar. 2021 |
SMG
3 - 1
SFD
46%
22%
32%
|
24 | 25 | 1 | +2 |