Naft Abadan vs Mes Sarcheshme analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.4%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.2%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.7%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.2%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
21%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
21%
13.6%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.8%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Naft Abadan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
SHA
1 - 1
SAN
38%
28%
34%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2012 |
SAN
2 - 1
RAH
46%
26%
27%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | +1 |
| 08 Feb. 2012 |
TRA
4 - 1
SAN
53%
24%
23%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | -1 |
| 03 Feb. 2012 |
SAN
1 - 2
MAL
47%
27%
26%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
FOO
2 - 0
SAN
46%
26%
27%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Mes Sarcheshme
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2012 |
MES
1 - 2
NAT
26%
31%
43%
|
60 | 72 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2012 |
SHA
1 - 1
MES
61%
23%
16%
|
60 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2012 |
MES
0 - 0
ZOB
27%
31%
42%
|
60 | 72 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2012 |
SAB
3 - 1
MES
69%
21%
11%
|
60 | 73 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
SHA
1 - 0
MES
57%
26%
17%
|
61 | 70 | 9 | -1 |