Naft Abadan vs Esteghlal Tehran analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.6%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.8%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
17.2%
27.9%
Draw
0-0
10.3%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
27.9%
45.5%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
13.7%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
9.1%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
13.5%
0-3
4%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Naft Abadan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 2017 |
TRA
2 - 2
SAN
67%
20%
13%
|
62 | 74 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2017 |
SAN
2 - 1
SAB
31%
29%
40%
|
61 | 70 | 9 | +1 |
| 26 Dec. 2016 |
SAN
0 - 1
GOT
29%
30%
41%
|
61 | 73 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2016 |
FOO
3 - 0
SAN
60%
24%
17%
|
62 | 74 | 12 | -1 |
| 08 Dec. 2016 |
SAN
0 - 1
SAI
31%
28%
41%
|
62 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Esteghlal Tehran
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 2017 |
EST
1 - 2
EKU
49%
27%
24%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2017 |
NAT
0 - 1
EST
42%
27%
31%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | +1 |
| 25 Dec. 2016 |
SEP
1 - 1
EST
45%
27%
29%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2016 |
NAT
3 - 2
EST
41%
27%
32%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | -1 |
| 15 Dec. 2016 |
EST
1 - 0
PAD
47%
27%
26%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | +1 |