WC Qual. CONCACAF Playoffs Final
Global 3-2
S. Vicente y las Granadinas vs Aruba analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.9%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.3%
3-0
9.9%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.2%
2-0
13.5%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.7%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
17.9%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
17.9%
10.2%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.6%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
S. Vicente y las Granadinas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2015 |
VCT
2 - 2
BRB
41%
26%
33%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2015 |
GUY
4 - 4
VCT
50%
24%
27%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | +1 |
| 10 Jun. 2015 |
VCT
2 - 2
GUY
36%
27%
37%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2015 |
DMA
0 - 1
VCT
27%
23%
51%
|
48 | 34 | 14 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2015 |
LCA
1 - 2
VCT
36%
25%
40%
|
47 | 42 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Aruba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jun. 2015 |
BRB
1 - 0
ABW
70%
19%
12%
|
31 | 49 | 18 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2015 |
ABW
0 - 2
BRB
25%
24%
52%
|
33 | 48 | 15 | -2 |
| 30 Jan. 2015 |
CUW
0 - 0
ABW
55%
22%
23%
|
33 | 38 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2014 |
ABW
0 - 2
GUF
24%
23%
53%
|
34 | 43 | 9 | -1 |
| 02 Jun. 2014 |
ABW
7 - 0
VGB
86%
11%
4%
|
34 | 13 | 21 | 0 |