WC Qual. CONCACAF Fase 1 Parte 2 Final
Global 6-3
S. Vicente y las Granadinas vs Nicaragua analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.5%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.2%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.4%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.7%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
46.9%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.8%
0-2
7%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.2%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+31%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
S. Vicente y las Granadinas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jun. 2004 |
NIC
2 - 2
VCT
62%
20%
18%
|
48 | 55 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2004 |
VCT
2 - 0
MAC
71%
16%
13%
|
48 | 34 | 14 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2004 |
KNA
3 - 2
VCT
61%
20%
19%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2004 |
GRD
1 - 1
VCT
53%
21%
26%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2004 |
VCT
1 - 1
LCA
60%
20%
20%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Nicaragua
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jun. 2004 |
NIC
2 - 2
VCT
62%
20%
18%
|
55 | 48 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2004 |
CRC
5 - 1
NIC
93%
5%
1%
|
55 | 87 | 32 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2004 |
NIC
2 - 0
BMU
43%
24%
33%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | +1 |
| 30 Apr. 2004 |
NIC
2 - 0
BMU
37%
24%
38%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 2004 |
BMU
2 - 1
NIC
57%
21%
22%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | -1 |