S. Vicente y las Granadinas vs Dominica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.1%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.5%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.1%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.8%
22.1%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13.6%
0-2
3%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
S. Vicente y las Granadinas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov. 2023 |
VCT
3 - 0
BLZ
39%
24%
37%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2023 |
BMU
3 - 1
VCT
54%
21%
25%
|
42 | 49 | 7 | -1 |
| 17 Oct. 2023 |
GUF
3 - 2
VCT
61%
19%
20%
|
43 | 58 | 15 | -1 |
| 13 Oct. 2023 |
VCT
1 - 4
GUF
14%
17%
69%
|
43 | 57 | 14 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2023 |
VCT
4 - 3
BMU
22%
22%
57%
|
42 | 49 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Dominica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2023 |
DMA
2 - 0
TCA
67%
17%
16%
|
38 | 18 | 20 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2023 |
VGB
1 - 2
DMA
15%
18%
68%
|
38 | 14 | 24 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2023 |
DMA
1 - 1
VGB
75%
15%
10%
|
38 | 13 | 25 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2023 |
TCA
0 - 3
DMA
19%
19%
62%
|
38 | 19 | 19 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2023 |
LCA
3 - 1
DMA
56%
22%
21%
|
39 | 44 | 5 | -1 |